Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.On the 13th, local time, the South Korean prosecutor summoned Guo Zhonggen, the commander of the special operations before the investigation.Vista Jiajie: The development of cloud computing and digitalization in Asia-Pacific IT distribution is accelerating. According to the research report of CLSA, Vista Jiajie, as the eighth largest IT distributor in the world and the second largest IT distributor in China, has benefited from the rapid growth of cloud computing and the digitalization development in Southeast Asia, and has a good market position. The company occupies a dominant position in the ICT industry in the Asia-Pacific region, especially in Southeast Asia and China, with obvious demographic advantages and huge growth potential. Vista Jiajie is Starlink's preferred partner in ASEAN. The global cloud computing market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 18.6% from 2023 to 2027. Vista Jiajie has an optimistic prospect in the fields of cloud computing and artificial intelligence.
Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.New Beiyang (Thailand) Company opened. According to the news of New Beiyang, on December 12th, the launching ceremony of New Beiyang (Thailand) Company was held in chonburi province, Thailand. This was the first factory established by New Beiyang overseas, which marked another major breakthrough in the company's internationalization strategy and laid a solid foundation for the company's future internationalization development. The park leased by New Beiyang (Thailand) Company covers an area of more than 5,500 square meters in the first phase. At present, the special printing and scanning product line built in the factory has been successfully put into production and is ready to start mass delivery. In the future, the company will continue to expand the production and delivery of some smart equipment products in Thai factories.India's NIFTY50 index fell 1% to 24,301.30 points, and India's SENSEX index fell 1% to 80,476.70 points.
Hong Kong Securities Regulatory Commission: The quarterly loss from July to September narrowed sharply year-on-year, with a net inflow of 664.3 billion yuan from Hong Kong Stock Connect so far this year."Black Myth: Wukong" won two TGA awards and is competing for the best game of the year. On December 13th, the reporter learned that at the TGA(The Game Awards)2024 award ceremony, the domestic game "Black Myth: Wukong" won the best action game and the player's voice award, and the best game award is in the competition. Jiang Baicun, the director of the planning of Black Myth: Wukong, said in his acceptance speech: "It is a great honor to win this award. First of all, I want to thank every player. It is your support that makes such an oriental myth about courage and wisdom shine on such a stage. I also want to thank the organizers for not setting up an' air wall' during my coming to power." (Dahe Finance Cube)India's NIFTY50 index fell 1% to 24,301.30 points, and India's SENSEX index fell 1% to 80,476.70 points.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14